Abstract:
Abstract
Climate change has various impacts on agricultural sector of countries particularly for those
countries whose economies highly depend on agriculture and has low adaptive capacities.
Ethiopian agriculture is the one which is highly vulnerable and sensitive to climate change
because of its high dependency on climate and low adaptive capacity. This study was carried out
with the main objective of analyzing the economic impacts of climate change on Ethiopian crop
production, particularly on those dominant crop types such as teff, wheat, barley, maize and
sorghum. And specifically the study aims to examine the deep-wise impacts of climate change on
each of the above selected crop types. To achieve the specified objectives, the study used the
Ricardian approach and took 7605 plot and 2864 household samples. The data used for the
study was from the LSMS-ISA, ESS data which was collected by the collaboration of World Bank
and Central Statistical Agency for the production year of 2013/14. For climate variables,
temperature and precipitation, the study used 30 years daily mean temperature and monthly
mean precipitation data; which came from Climate Change Research Center of Gondar
University and National Metrological Agency, Ethiopia. Net crop revenue for the whole crops
and each crop was regressed on climate, soils, and socioeconomic variables. The results
indicated that the variables included in the specified model of this study had significant effects
on net crop revenue per plot for both the whole crop and each crop types. Further, the result
from the seasonal marginal analysis of this study indicated that seasonal climate variable had a
significant various impacts across each crop types. The finding showed that the whole crop, teff
and sorghum crops were sensitive for summer season precipitation while wheat, barley and
maize are for spring season. Introducing and expanding improved and new varieties of crops
and agricultural inputs, which can resist and adopt further changes of climate variables, are
recommended by this study so as to reduce the impacts of climate change on the production of
those selected crop types in particular and on the whole crop production in general.
